Energy and greenhouse gas scenarios for 2030 and 2050

In cooperation with experts from WIFO, CESAR, e-think, AEA, TU Graz and TU Wien, the Federal Environment Agency has developed scenarios to identify ways to achieve a climate-friendly future in Austria. While the baseline scenario “WEM” continues previous developments, the “Transition” scenario assumes the energy transition as a socio-political objective. For the “Transition” scenario, changing framework conditions, technological innovations and changes in consumption patterns play a central role. The results show that the defined framework conditions and potential measures can achieve large-scale reductions in energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 (-81 % in 1990). It is also expected to have positive effects on economic growth, employment and income.奥地利联邦环境局联合WIFO、CESAR、e-think、AEA、格拉茨工业大学(TU Graz)及维也纳工业大学(TU Wien)的专家团队，开发了多套情景方案，以探寻奥地利迈向气候友好型未来的可行路径。其中，基线情景“WEM”延续既有发展态势，“转型”情景则将能源转型设定为社会政治层面的目标。针对“转型”情景，动态调整的框架条件、技术创新与消费模式变革将发挥核心作用。研究结果表明，所明确的框架条件与可行举措可助力奥地利在2050年前实现能源消耗与温室气体排放量的大幅削减（较1990年下降81%）。该情景同时有望对经济增长、就业及居民收入产生积极影响。