TABLE 3 in A new species of the Cyrtodactylus brevipalmatus group (Squamata: Gekkonidae) from Phuket Island, Thailand with a discussion of the group's potential biogeography

TABLE 3. Model testing for the BioGeoBEARS analysis with and without found-event speciation (+J). Models tested: dispersal-extinction-cladogenesis (DEC); Bayesian analysis of biogeography when the number of areas is large (BayArea); and dispersal-vicariance (DIVA). d = rate of dispersal; e = rate of extinction. ModelLn LNo. of parametersdeJAICAIC-wtDEC-13.0520.00091.0e-12030.910.087DEC+J-10.5831.0e-123.2e-100.02128.870.24DIVELIKE-12.1320.00491.0e-12029.060.22DIVELIKE+J-10.0331.0e-121.0e-120.02527.770.42BAYARALIKE-20.820.00480.047046.43.8e-05BAYARALIKE+J-12.531.0e-071.0e-070.03632.70.035表3 有无发现事件成种（found-event speciation）的BioGeoBEARS分析模型测试。本次测试的模型包括：扩散-灭绝-分支演化（dispersal-extinction-cladogenesis，DEC）模型、区域数量较多时的生物地理学贝叶斯分析（Bayesian analysis of biogeography when the number of areas is large，BayArea）模型，以及扩散-隔离分化（dispersal-vicariance，DIVA）模型。其中，d代表扩散速率，e代表灭绝速率。各模型的测试结果如下表所示： | 模型 | 对数似然值（Ln L） | 参数数量 | 扩散速率（d） | 灭绝速率（e） | 发现事件成种速率（J） | 赤池信息准则（AIC） | AIC权重（AIC-wt） | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | DEC | -13.05 | 2 | 0.0009 | 1.0×10⁻¹² | 0 | 30.91 | 0.087 | | DEC+J | -10.58 | 3 | 1.0×10⁻¹² | 3.2×10⁻¹⁰ | 0.021 | 28.87 | 0.24 | | DIVELIKE | -12.13 | 2 | 0.0049 | 1.0×10⁻¹² | 0 | 29.06 | 0.22 | | DIVELIKE+J | -10.03 | 3 | 1.0×10⁻¹² | 1.0×10⁻¹² | 0.025 | 27.77 | 0.42 | | BAYARALIKE | -20.82 | 2 | 0.0048 | 0.047 | 0 | 46.4 | 3.8×10⁻⁵ | | BAYARALIKE+J | -12.53 | 3 | 1.0×10⁻⁷ | 1.0×10⁻⁷ | 0.036 | 32.7 | 0.035 |